- The long and short term up trends in the market are both in place.
- This market has gone parabolic on a break above the 70 RSI. This is a rare outlier event to run so far with no pullback.
- This is currently a market for trend followers and momentum traders. Short signals have failed since the recent low was estabablished in October.
- The risk/reward is skewed strongly against longs at these lofty levels. This is a let profits run kind of market and not a great time to initiate new longs at these overbought price levels. Much better odds on waiting for a pullback to get long if not already long here.
- The gap open and then close lower on Friday is the first sign of a possible reversal. The second would be a close under the low of day on the gap day.
- There are zero signs of a correction here, the bears have to battle for even a pullback with the buying pressure that is being exerted on every small dip.
- The low of the day on the gap up is the 1st level of short term support.
- The 5 day ema is the second level of support that lines up with the recent $206 break out resistance.
- It is highly likely that selling deep out of the money puts is the highest probability trade here.
- I will be back on the dip buying side next week given the right opportunity at the 5 day ema or 10 day sma.