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The fact that the endless stream of scary news about ISIS, Ukraine, Gaza could not phase this market remains bullish.
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The market was able to go through the FED minutes and Jackson hole without the volatility most expected. It is the same old thing, the FED has the Bull’s back.
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Currently at this point in time on the charts there is no evidence of an imminent pullback happening in the market. I will be reacting to what is happening not attempting to predict when something is going to happen. I have been tightening my stops on my longs on the way up last week but I am waiting to either be stopped out with an end of day close below the previous days lows or will sell my $SPY longs into a rally into the 70 RSI at the end of that day.
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The risk/reward on the daily chart is starting to shift against long equity positions here but there is still room for higher prices, we are not overbought in my model. A switch to small caps leading or to weaker sectors would help the rally continue higher.
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We still have room to run higher in $SPY to the 70 RSI. Odds are on support for $SPY at the 5 day ema in $SPY.
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$INDU went into a needed two day price base. It would be healthy for the chart to stay in a range for a few more days before higher. My $UDOW stop is a close beneath the previous days low of day.
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$IWM is struggling to find support at the 50 day sma. It has the best risk/reward left of the indexes because it has been the weakest for the whole summer. I will be stopped out of my $TNA position with a strong close beneath the 5 day ema and 50 day sma.
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$QQQ is now in overbought territory and can use time here to build a base. $QQQ does have the tendency to go parabolic more than other indexes and could possible see higher prices before a sizable pullback.
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Financials finally saw the breakout of a long term price range but went no where Friday. It has room to run higher.
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Currently the stock market is in an up trend on all time frames. The long side is where the dollars are the nickels are on the short side, for now.