- $SPY broke out above the 50 day sma on Thursday: In the past 4 years after $SPY crossed over the 50 day, 5 days later there were 21 wins/8 losses Average win 1.6% average loss -1.33%.
- $SPY bounced and regained the 50 day by the end of day on Friday.
- $SPY is above the 5 day ema bullish short term momentum indicator.
- $SPY has a reversal candle on the weekly time frame.
- The “gap and go” buy signal Thursday held its low of day by the close Friday.
- $SPY is in the bullish half of the RSI at 50.13
- The bounce near the 100 day sma held so far.
- It is normal the majority of the time for price to pull back to a major moving average at least once before a new trend takes off.
- The Thursday and Friday price action from the FED minutes and the payroll numbers were neutral by the end of day Friday. This leaves us with a bullish gap up signal from the Wednesday close still.
- I bought $UPRO and $TNA Thursday morning in the gap. I bought $SPY on Friday close. My stop is a close under the 50 day sma. The equity market looks bullish here to me inside my trading model and system a close below the 50 day sma will take me back to cash and looking to buy ta bigger dip. We’ll see what happens next week.